Archive for April 2011


War and truth in Libya and Palestine

April 28th, 2011 — 9:17pm

War and truth in Libya and Palestine
APRIL 20, 2011

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[GALLO/GETTY]
by Tarak Barkawi
War may dismantle old truths and political orders, but it creates new ones at the same time.
We are told that war is the pursuit of politics by other means. Attributed to Clausewitz, the thought is actually rather comforting. War may be violent but at least it’s rational. It is a sometimes necessary strategy to achieve objectives.
A world is imagined in which armed force is an instrument that can be calibrated, here a scalpel, there a hammer. Violence – the destruction of bodies and things – becomes a means to be assessed for its efficacy in attaining ends.
How much ‘punishment’ will the people of Gaza take before they get rid of Hamas? How much ‘pressure’ needs to be applied before the Gaddafi regime collapses?
Experts offer authoritative analyses. PowerPoint slides are produced, briefings given. Leaders make informed decisions. The balloon goes up. Operation Cast Lead or Unified Protector or some other begins.
Speeches follow; political, legal and moral justifications are made. Politicians and their advisors claim truth in the face of war. They speak of their rational command of force, of the effects it will have among the target populations.
Clausewitz also likened war to a wrestling match. Players in a game know it can take on a life of its own. Each move is countered, and then countered again. They are caught in a system neither side controls, each seeking a dominance that often turns out fleeting.
Like many veteran soldiers, Clausewitz well understood that the enemy always has a vote, that plans are cast aside on first contact, and that outcomes are ultimately unpredictable. Amidst the fog of war, calculations must be made with variable quantities. It was precisely for these reasons that he enjoined politicians and generals to think so carefully about their objectives in going to war.
What Clausewitz actually teaches us is that war is far more likely to make us its servants than we are to make war our instrument. War subjects us to its dynamics, it draws in ever greater resources, and it changes everything, especially but not only for those caught in the direct grip of its violence.
What then of those who would speak truth about war?
They test themselves against a reality beyond their control. Worse, there is a devious opponent behind the scenes, manipulating things for their own purposes. Bomb Gaddafi’s armoured vehicles, and now he moves his forces about in cars and light trucks, indistinguishable from civilians and rebels. With a stroke, NATO’s chief advantage and only instrument – air power – is decisively attenuated.
The command of force is exposed as partial, fraught. With each untoward event, each instance of ‘unprotected civilians’, the ground begins to shift. NATO becomes that much less a mighty alliance providing ‘unified protection’, and that much more a club of squabbling countries.
The armed embodiment of the West cannot produce eight extra warplanes, much less determine the course of events in Libya. Is it the Libyan rebels who lack a unified command structure or the principal Western military alliance?
Instead, those events begin to force shifts in NATO’s identity and in the fates of its political leaders. War, Heraclitus tell us, makes some men gods and others slaves.
Sarkozy, Cameron and Obama, heroes of the moment as their air forces saved the day in Benghazi just a few weeks back, now appear feckless. The more they say Gaddafi must go and the longer he stays, the more impotent they look and the more impotent they are. The West is already in a self-inflicted economic crisis, what now of its vaunted military power?
War is a train that once boarded is very difficult to get off at the station you prefer, and which is headed to a new and unknown destination.
When the US invaded Iraq in 2003, it did so as the sole superpower whose high tech forces could exercise an enduring global dominance. It was the unipolar moment. Even the old rules about insurgents tying down regular armies had apparently been overturned in Afghanistan.
No one talks like this anymore.
At the same time, as war dismantles old truths and the political orders they sustained, it creates new ones. The victorious order of battle from 1945 still sits on the UN Security Council. Israelis have been so marvellously successful in defeating Arab armies and in crushing and dividing the Palestinians that they came to believe that military power alone could secure the future of Israel.
With so much faith in the military instrument, the Israeli right forgot about the realities of the political context in which that instrument is used. They have condemned themselves to a great anti-apartheid struggle for a civil and democratic state on the land of Palestine, in which they will go down in history as the last Boers. This struggle will cost Israel its Jewish identity and majority as surely as would have a military defeat.
Violence is not an instrument that can be applied in laboratory conditions, only just so much more bomb tonnage on these particular targets and you get the result forecasted by theorists of coercion. It is rather the most diabolical and active ingredient in war’s cauldron. In a blinding flash that no one escapes, you can become a different person living in a different world. As Mike Tyson once said, “everybody has a plan until they get punched in the face.”
War consumes and reworks that which is taken to be true, in the lives of individuals as in the lives of nations. It does so because it is intimately bound up with politics, in recurring cycles of cause and effect that shift the ground on which we stand. This is what Clausewitz meant when he said that war was a continuation of politics.
Tarak Barkawi is Senior Lecturer, Centre of International Studies, University of Cambridge. He specialises in the study of war, armed forces and society with a focus on conflict between the West and the global South in historical and contemporary perspective. He is author of Globalisation and War, as well as many scholarly articles.
The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect Al Jazeera’s editorial policy.
english.aljazeera.net 29.4.2001

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Miracles, heroes and fairytale weddings

April 26th, 2011 — 5:10am

There are some weeks when the stars just align, and this is one of them. Three great myths to be celebrated in the space of seven days – it doesn’t get much better.
The first was the foundation Christian myth of Easter, the ultimate happy ending. According to the best source available (the Bible) the story is that some time over 4,000 years ago an omnipotent and benevolent God created heaven and earth, saw it was good, and created a perfect man and woman to live in it. But they broke the rules by eating an apple, so God decided that he could never forgive them or any of their descendants, who were now steeped in irrevocable sin.
To prove his point he sent floods, fire and brimstone and numerous lesser torments, but some humans, suffering from what would now be described as Stockholm syndrome, still believed he was good and kind. And at last he found a way to forgive them for their unforgivable sin.
He sent them his only beloved son on the condition that if, and only if, they tortured him to death would they be forgiven. And they did, so he gave them the choice: the ones who still didn’t love him would burn in hell forever, but the faithful would live happily ever after – and he did mean ever. Well worth celebrating with a big show at Homebush and a few chocolate eggs.
And then came Anzac Day. The idea here was that in 1915 some British generals decided to invade Turkey and were short of cannon fodder. So they sent for the Australians, who obliged and were ritually sacrificed, in much the same way as God had told Abraham to sacrifice his only son for no apparent reason. But the immolation was also a rite of passage which not only transformed Australia into a real nation, but also altered the genetic structure of the inhabitants.
They all became endowed with hereditary qualities of courage, sacrifice and above all mateship, something which had apparently never existed anywhere on the planet before Gallipoli in April, 1915. Moreover it could not be replicated; it was and is a uniquely Australian trait. The event gave rise to an annual festival celebrated with football, gambling and Victoria Bitter.
But the third myth is the one that has caused the most widespread rejoicing: not some legend from the past, but the present day fairy tale of the poor but virtuous maiden marrying her real life prince. Well, Kate Middleton was never actually poor, and given that a medically witnessed certificate of virginity is not longer considered essential for the brides of the house of Windsor, the rest of the description cannot be guaranteed either.
But the occasion is still to be celebrated in the best traditions of Hans Christian Anderson and the brothers Grimm. We commoners have been dancing in the streets in anticipation, and when the union is at last consummated (actually it probably has been, many times, but not officially) joy will be unconfined.
But is all this fun and frivolity a touch superficial, even profane? Are we missing the true meaning behind these sacred mysteries? Well, probably, but you’d have to say that the signals coming from our leaders, both spiritual and temporal, are a trifle confusing.
The clerics’ Easter message revolved around the need to deal with disaster in, essentially, the spirit of Anzac, a very convenient segue. They were a trifle unconvincing about why an omnipotent and benevolent deity, having supposedly forgiven humanity, should continue to send fire, flood, plague and tempest to kill innocent children, but they were quite sure we should rise above such tragedies with courage and, of course, mateship.
The politicians cut straight to the chase: in good times and bad Australians stick together and see things through. Yes, but see what through? And why? Well, just trust us – or  rather trust the opinion polls and the focus groups who told us what they thought you would trust. Not a lot of courage there. More like the donkey than Simpson.
But fair enough, perhaps, because there doesn’t seem to be a lot of sacrifice around either. From the miners who refuse to pay a fair share of tax, through the pubs and clubs who can’t accept a reduction in their profits from machines deliberately rigged to rob the public, to the tobacco companies who cannot abide restrictions on the right to sell products which they know will kill their customers, the corporate sector is hardly enthusiastic about the idea of mateship.
And the public, by and large, is understandably cynical; while they flock to the dawn service, they are deserting the idea of paying a single red cent to fund any effective moves against climate change, which has the potential to do more damage to their descendants than the campaign in the Dardanelles ever did. Courage, sacrifice and mateship might be splendid subjects for sermons and political oratory, but when it come to putting them into practice neither the preachers nor the politicians apply them to themselves, and their audiences are taking the hint.
So if courage, sacrifice and mateship seem to have gone missing, is there any sign of genuine altruism around? Well, fortunately yes: our third public festival provides it. Kate Middleton is a pretty, talented and apparently sane young woman, yet she is prepared to become a member of the most scrutinised and dysfunctional family in the world, simply to provide the rest of us with a bit of a party. She must know what she is getting into, and how little chance she has of surviving it. Yet she is prepared to face near-certain personal destruction, against overwhelming odds, to keep alive a moribund tradition, which, for all its faults, provides a better spectacle than Quo Vadis and Gallipoli combined.
Kate Middleton, we salute you: in your heroism the tradition of Calvary and Suvla Bay lives on.
abc.net.au 26.4.2011
Mungo MacCallum is a political journalist and commentator.

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My hero: John Cooke

April 23rd, 2011 — 9:41am

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John Cooke, from an engraving by R Cooper. Photograph: Mary Evans Picture Library/Alamy

As Cromwell’s solicitor general, he drafted the Act which abolished the monarchy. Then, for good measure, he abolished the House of Lords as ‘useless and dangerous’
My hero is a man who did his best and gave his life to stop England becoming the kind of nation it will be over the next week. John Cooke prosecuted Charles I. As Cromwell’s solicitor general, he drafted the Act which abolished the monarchy (“the office of a king in this country is unnecessary, burdensome and dangerous to the liberty, safety and public interest of the people”). Then, for good measure, he abolished the House of Lords as “useless and dangerous”. For these heroic acts of republican faith, he was disembowelled at the restoration. He was the son of a Leicestershire farmer. He defended “Freeborn John” Lilburne the Leveller, in a case that established the right to silence. Cooke was the visionary who first recognised poverty as a cause of crime, and was the first to suggest a national health service (in 1647) and abolition of imprisonment for debt (two centuries before Dickens). He proposed that barristers’ fees should be controlled and they should do 10% of their work pro bono.
When all the great lawyers fled from the Temple for fear of treason if they prosecuted the king, Cooke accepted the brief and mounted what became in effect the first war-crimes trial of a head of state. The “great lawyers” soon returned to frustrate Cooke’s reforms, so he accepted Cromwell’s offer to become chief justice of Ireland, where he speeded up proceedings and decided cases in favour of tenants rather than landlords. Come the restoration, however, he was arrested as a regicide, subjected to an outrageously rigged trial, and then hanged, drawn and quartered at Charing Cross.
Cooke was a man of great courage and republican principle. In words worth remembering this week, he wrote to his wife from the Tower shortly before his execution: “We fought for the public good and would have enfranchised the people and secured the welfare of the whole groaning creation, if the nation had not delighted more in servitude than freedom.”
Geoffrey Robertson

guardian.co.uk 23.4.2011

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Shulman City in Print

April 21st, 2011 — 11:44pm

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Julius Shulman is celebrated as one of the 20th century’s most iconic architectural photographers. He’s also credited with helping to solidify the California Modernist style we know today thanks to his meticulous documentation of built work by John Lautner, Ray Kappe, Pierre Koenig, and Richard Neutra.
Not quite as well known is his oeuvre profiling the city of Los Angeles and its birth as a modern metropolis. Thankfully, we have Sam Lubell and Douglas Woods on deck for that task, culminating in the pair’s recent Rizzoli Press release Julius Shulman, Los Angeles.

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Page 7: Mobil Gas Station, Smith and Williams, Anaheim, 1956. © J Paul Getty Trust.

Lubell, who also happens to be West Coast editor of The Architect’s Newspaper, explains in an interview with the LA Times that he and his co-author Woods began researching the book as a collection of interiors. Thanks to a tip from Anne Blecksmith at the Getty Research Institute, the pair dove into “the higher numbered boxes in the archives,” i.e. “the ones that have been barely looked at, let alone published.” As it turns out, less than a quarter of Shulman’s archive depicts architecture by the LA heavyweights. Instead, his images of bridges, gas stations, civic offices, and highways shaped the way outsiders saw Los Angeles as a burgeoning metropolis.

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Page 43: A machine-age detail of the Sixth Street bridge, Los Angeles, 1933. © Craig Krull Gallery

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Page 4: Looking over Griffith Observatory and Los Angeles from Mount Hollywood, 1936. © Craig Krull Gallery.

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Page 26 top left: In the 1930s, oil fields such as this dotted the Southern California landscape. © Craig Krull Gallery.

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Page 232: Interior view, Department of Water and Power headquarters, A.C. Martin & Associates, Los Angeles, 1965. © J Paul Getty Trust.

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Page 36: Highway over rail yards, Los Angeles, 1934. © Craig Krull Gallery.

All images published with permission by Rizzoli.
Architizer.com 20.4.2011

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Shooting in Tal Afar

April 20th, 2011 — 11:11pm

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Chris Hondros 1970-2011 Getty Images

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Are Earthquakes Really on the Increase?

April 18th, 2011 — 8:46pm

Are Earthquakes Really on the Increase?

We continue to be asked by many people throughout the world if earthquakes are on the increase. Although it may seem that we are having more earthquakes, earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or greater have remained fairly constant.
A partial explanation may lie in the fact that in the last twenty years, we have definitely had an increase in the number of earthquakes we have been able to locate each year. This is because of the tremendous increase in the number of seismograph stations in the world and the many improvements in global communications. In 1931, there were about 350 stations operating in the world; today, there are more than 8,000 stations and the data now comes in rapidly from these stations by electronic mail, internet and satellite. This increase in the number of stations and the more timely receipt of data has allowed us and other seismological centres to locate earthquakes more rapidly and to locate many small earthquakes which were undetected in earlier years. The NEIC now locates about 20,000 earthquakes each year or approximately 50 per day. Also, because of the improvements in communications and the increased interest in the environment and natural disasters, the public now learns about more earthquakes.
According to long-term records (since about 1900), we expect about 17 major earthquakes (7.0 – 7.9) and one great earthquake (8.0 or above) in any given year.
earthquake.usgs.gov 18.4.2011

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War Time Diary 15.4.41

April 16th, 2011 — 6:35am

Last night went to the pub to listen to the 9 o’clock news, and arriving there a few minutes late, asked the landlady what the news had been. “Oh, we never turn it on. Nobody listens to it, you see. And they’ve got the piano playing in the other bar, and they won’t turn it off just for the news.” This at a moment when there is a most deadly threat to the Suez canal°. Cf. during the worst moment of the Dunkirk campaign, when the barmaid would not have turned on the news unless I had asked her… [1] Cf. also the time in 1936 when the Germans re-occupied the Rhineland. I was in Barnsley at the time. I went into a pub just after the news had come through and remarked at random, “The German army has crossed the Rhine”. With a vague air of remembering something someone murmured “Parley-voo”. [2] No more response than that…So also at every moment of crisis from 1931 onwards. You have all the time the sensation of kicking against an impenetrable wall of stupidity. But of course at times their stupidity has stood them in good stead. Any European nation situated as we are would have been squealing for peace long ago.
[1] See War-time Diary, 28.5.40 and 24.6.40.
[2] Refrain from World War I song ‘Mademoiselle from Armentiѐres,’ or ‘Armenteers,’ as it was sung. Peter Davison

Orwelldiaries.wordpress.com 16.4.2011

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Quo Vadis no eleventy

April 15th, 2011 — 6:37am

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mootrealm.com 15.4.2011

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Deflating Inflation/ Inflating Deflation

April 14th, 2011 — 8:48am

Deflating Inflation/ Inflating Deflation

by POSTED BY YVES SMITH  •  APRIL 14, 2011

By Satyajit Das, author of Extreme Money: The Masters of the Universe and the Cult of Risk (Forthcoming in Q3 2011) and Traders, Guns & Money: Knowns and Unknowns in the Dazzling World of Derivatives – Revised Edition (2006 and 2010)
Quantitative easing (”QE”), the currently fashionable form of voodoo economics favoured by policymakers in the US, is primarily directed at boosting asset values and creating inflation. By essentially creating money artificially, central bankers are seeking to return the world to stability, growth and prosperity.
The underlying driver is to generate growth and inflation to enable the problems of excessive debt in the economy to be dealt with painlessly. It is far from clear whether it will work
Monetary Phenomenology…
QE is designed to create inflation, at least just at the correct level. Given that one of the objectives of central banks is to keep inflation under control, it is ironic that they now want to create more inflation. Higher inflation would reduce the value of debt. Inflation may also induce more consumer spending, as people accelerate purchases, anticipating higher prices in the future.
The ability of QE to generate inflation relies on Milton Friedman’s observation that “inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.” The quantity theory of money holds that the supply of money multiplied by velocity (the rate at which it circulates) equals nominal income, the product of real output and prices. Increasing money supply increases nominal income, boosting real output and/ or prices.
The role of money supply in inflation and economic activity is complex. Cause and effect is uncertain – does money supply influence nominal income or does nominal income affect velocity and the demand for and thereby the supply of money? Central banks control the monetary base, a narrow measure of the money supply made up of currency plus the reserves that commercial banks hold with the central bank. The relationship between the monetary base, credit creation, nominal income and economic activity is unstable.
A significant problem is that velocity of money or the rate of circulation has slowed. Banks are not using the reserves created and money provided to increase lending. The reduction in velocity has offset the effect of increased money flows.
The desire to increase inflation is also driven by fear of deflation. Economists measure the economy’s “output gap”, the difference between total demand and the economy’s potential to produce goods. When demand exceeds supply, inflation rises. When demand is less than supply, inflation falls (disinflation). In the extreme circumstances it becomes deflation, where prices start to fall.
Deflation makes it difficult to manage excessive debt. Cash flows and earnings fall making it harder to service existing borrowing. Debt must be paid back in money that is now more valuable as it gains in purchasing power. Nominal interest rates fall but after adjustment for inflation rates, real interest rates are high, discouraging borrowing. Falling prices discourage non-essential consumption, as the same item is likely to be cheaper in the future. For a central banker in an economy with high debt levels, inflation is the dream, deflation is a nightmare.
Milton Friedman famously argued that “helicopter drops” of money could be used to encourage spending and avoid deflation. A student of economic history and an acolyte of Friedman, Ben Bernanke restated the principle in 2002 arguing that “under a paper-money system, a determined government can always generate higher spending and hence positive inflation.”
The Fed justifies QE as insurance against the risk of deflation. But inflation levels remain modest, particularly if the effect of higher commodity prices is stripped out. In practice, creating inflation or even arresting deflationary tendencies is difficult. After many years and several rounds of QE, Japan still hovers on the cusp of deflation.
Ironically, if QE created the necessary inflation or inflationary expectations, then it would push up interest rates, potentially choking off economic recovery.
After the Fed launched QE2, long term US interest rates rose sharply, driven by fears of high inflation in the future. The hoped for fall in mortgage rates and generally lower interest rates did not occur to the extent anticipated. Since the announcement of QE2, 30 Year Treasury yields have increased by around 0.60%. The average 30-year mortgage rate has gone up from 4.25% in August 2010 to over 5% by January 2011.
Side Dishes…
Criticism of QE has focused on the risk of Weimar like hyperinflation. Debasement of a currency through debt monetisation can lead to very high levels of inflation.
In reality, the low velocity of money, the lack of demand and excess productive capacity in many industries means the inflation outlook in the near term remains subdued. Inflation will only result if bank lending accelerates and aggregate demand exceeds aggregate supply. America’s output gap is between 5% and 10% and considerably more monetisation would be necessary to create high levels of inflation.
QE’s real side effects are subtle. It discourages savings, drives a rush to re-risk, encourages volatile capital flows into emerging markets and forces up commodity prices.
Low interest rates perversely discourage saving, at a time when indebted countries, like America, need to increase saving to pay down high levels of debt. Low interest rates reduce the income of retirees or others living off savings, further reducing consumption.
Individuals saving for retirement received this piece of quixotic advice from Charles Bean, Deputy Governor of the Bank of England: “Savers shouldn’t necessarily expect to be able to live just off their income in times when interest rates are low. It may make sense for them to eat into their capital … Very often older households have actually benefited from the fact that they’ve seen capital gains on their houses.” In retirement, it seems everyone should sell their houses, take up residence on the streets or in a public park and live off the money released.
Low rates have driven a rush to increase risk, in search of higher returns. In January 2011, the difference between interest rates on speculative or non-investment grade corporate bonds and investment-grade debt fell to around 3.50%, the lowest level since November 2007. In 2010, companies sold a record $286.7 billion of junk bonds to investors driven by the need for higher rates. The search for yield extends to stocks and also structured products, where investors take on complex returns in return for additional returns.
The rush to re-risk has reduced general lending standards. Practices that contributed to the global financial crisis, such as “covenant lite” loans with low protection for lenders, have re-emerged. Under-pricing of risk is also evident, creating the foundations for future problems.
Financial Fetishes…
Voodoo was originally a religion that developed in America’s South, based on African beliefs syncretised with Christianity. Voodoo incorrectly became associated with exotic superstitions and occult practices. Unscrupulous practitioners made a fortune charging money for fake good luck charms or talismans kept to ward off evil – fetishes.
Voodoo economics, such as QE, resembles fetishes, objects believed to have supernatural powers. Despite evidence to the contrary, these financial fetishes are predicated on the belief that the theories and models are correct, policy makers know what they are doing and the actions will be effective.
In the voodoo belief system, a zombie is a fictional monster, usually a reanimated human corpse with normal appearance but no will of its own, controlled by a powerful sorcerer. Increasingly, the global economy risks entering a zombie phase. The economy appears to be functioning. In reality, it is moribund and stagnant, manipulated by central bankers and policy makers to give the appearance of normality.
In Ferris Bueller’s Day Off , Sloane ask Ferris: “What are we going to do?” Ferris replies memorably: “It’s not what we are going to do! It’s what aren’t we going to do!” As policies fail or prove ineffective, desperate policy makers merely apply them in larger doses or dream up new fetishes. QE2 is likely to be followed by further rounds of QE and other forms of voodoo economics.
If current policies fail to spur growth and inflation, then governments will borrow or print more money to increase spending, transferring funds to households or cutting taxes, building infrastructure or even writing off the face value of mortgages and other debt. If that fails then they can purchase other riskier assets. The Bank of Japan’s strategies now include buying stocks, lending to companies and providing even more money to banks to boost their capital and lending capacity.
In extremis, the central bank could charge people for holding money, forcing them to spend it by placing expiry dates on currency. Policy maker’s actions are shaped by Josh Billings’ observation: “The thinner the ice, the more anxious is everyone to see whether it will bear.”
The economic policy debate, at its core, is about the limits to human knowledge of the economy and the ability to control it. The global financial crisis and the policy response are increasingly exposing the limits to both. As author Richard Collier once remarked: “All motion is cyclic. It circulates to the limits of its possibilities and then returns to its starting point.”
Economists, central bankers and governments reject limits to their knowledge and powers. Their thinking mirrors the following exchange in The Dark Knight (the latest instalment in the Batman franchise):
Alfred: Know your limits, Master Wayne.
Bruce Wayne: Batman has no limits.
Alfred: Well, you do, sir.
Bruce Wayne: Well, can’t afford to know ‘em.
Central bankers and policy makers would do well to heed Josh Billings’ advice: “I have lived in this world just long enough to look carefully the second time into things that I am most certain of the first time.”
nakedcapitalism.com

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Exiles

April 14th, 2011 — 7:47am

Roberto Bolaño

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Masaccio: The Expulsion From the Garden of Eden, c. 1425 (detail)

To be exiled is not to disappear but to shrink, to slowly or quickly get smaller and smaller until we reach our real height, the true height of the self. Swift, master of exile, knew this. For him exile was the secret word for journey. Many of the exiled, freighted with more suffering than reasons to leave, would reject this statement.
All literature carries exile within it, whether the writer has had to pick up and go at the age of twenty or has never left home.
Probably the first exiles on record were Adam and Eve. This is indisputable and it raises a few questions: can it be that we’re all exiles? Is it possible that all of us are wandering strange lands?
The concept of “strange lands” (like that of “home ground”) has some holes in it, presents new questions. Are “strange lands” an objective geographic reality, or a mental construct in constant flux?
Let’s recall Alonso de Ercilla.
After a few trips through Europe, Ercilla, soldier and nobleman, travels to Chile and fights the Araucanians under Alderete. In 1561, when he’s not yet thirty, he returns and settles in Madrid. Twenty years later he publishes La Araucana, the best epic poem of his age, in which he relates the clash between Araucanians and Spaniards, with clear sympathy for the former. Was Ercilla in exile during his American ramblings through the lands of Chile and Peru? Or did he feel exiled when he returned to court, and is La Araucana the fruit of that morbus melancholicus, of his keen awareness of a kingdom lost? And if this is so, which I can’t say for sure, what has Ercilla lost in 1589, just five years before his death, but youth? And with his youth, the arduous journeys, the human experience of being exposed to the elements of an enormous and unknown continent, the long rides on horseback, the skirmishes with the Indians, the battles, the shadows of Lautaro and Caupolicán that, as time passes, loom large and speak to him, to Ercilla, the only poet and the only survivor of something that, when set down on paper, will be a poem, but that in the memory of the old poet is just a life or many lives, which amounts to the same thing.
And what is Ercilla left with before he writes La Araucana and dies? Ercilla is left with something—if in its most extreme and bizarre form—that all great poets possess. He’s left with courage. A courage worth nothing in old age, just as, incidentally, it’s worth nothing in youth, but that keeps poets from throwing themselves off a cliff or shooting themselves in the head, and that, in the presence of a blank page, serves the humble purpose of writing.
Exile is courage. True exile is the true measure of each writer.
At this point I should say that at least where literature is concerned, I don’t believe in exile. Exile is a question of tastes, personalities, likes, dislikes. For some writers exile means leaving the family home; for others, leaving the childhood town or city; for others, more radically, growing up. There are exiles that last a lifetime and others that last a weekend. Bartleby, who prefers not to, is an absolute exile, an alien on planet Earth. Melville, who was always leaving, didn’t experience—or wasn’t adversely affected by—the chilliness of the word exile. Philip K. Dick knew better than anyone how to recognize the disturbances of exile. William Burroughs was the incarnation of every one of those disturbances.
Probably all of us, writers and readers alike, set out into exile, or at least a certain kind of exile, when we leave childhood behind. Which would lead to the conclusion that the exiled person or the category of exile doesn’t exist, especially in regards to literature. The immigrant, the nomad, the traveler, the sleepwalker all exist, but not the exile, since every writer becomes an exile simply by venturing into literature, and every reader becomes an exile simply by opening a book.
Almost all Chilean writers, at some point in their lives, have gone into exile. Many have been followed doggedly by the ghost of Chile, have been caught and returned to the fold. Others have managed to shake the ghost and gone into hiding; still others have changed their names and their ways and Chile has luckily forgotten them.
When I was fifteen, in 1968, I left Chile for Mexico. For me, back then, Mexico City was like the Border, that vast nonexistent territory where freedom and metamorphosis are common currency.
Despite it all, the shadow of my native land wasn’t erased and in the depths of my stupid heart the certainty persisted that it was there that my destiny lay.
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AFP/Getty Images
A tank on its way to the presidential palace, Santiago, Chile, June 30, 1973
I returned to Chile when I was twenty to take part in the Revolution, with such bad luck that a few days after I got to Santiago the coup came and the army seized power. My trip to Chile was long, and sometimes I’ve thought that if I’d spent more time in Honduras, for example, or waited a little before shipping out from Panama, the coup would’ve come before I got to Chile and my fate would have been different.
In any case, and despite the collective misfortunes and my small personal misfortunes, I remember the days after the coup as full days, crammed with energy, crammed with eroticism, days and nights in which anything could happen. There’s no way I’d wish a twentieth year like that on my son, but I should also acknowledge that it was an unforgettable year. The experience of love, black humor, friendship, prison, and the threat of death were condensed into no more than five interminable months that I lived in a state of amazement and urgency. During that time, I wrote one poem, which wasn’t just bad like the other poems I wrote back then, but excruciatingly bad. When those five months were up I left Chile again and I haven’t been back since.
That was the beginning of my exile, or what is commonly known as exile, although the truth is I didn’t see it that way.
Sometimes exile simply means that Chileans tell me I talk like a Spaniard, Mexicans tell me I talk like a Chilean, and Spaniards tell me I talk like an Argentinean: it’s a question of accents.
The fates chosen by those who go into exile are often strange. After the Chilean coup in 1973, I remember that few political refugees made their way to the embassies of Bulgaria or Romania, for example, with France or Italy preferred by many, although as I recall, top honors went to Mexico, and also Sweden, two very different countries that in the Chilean collective unconscious must have stood for two opposite manifestations of desire, although it’s true that in time the balance tilted toward the Mexican side and many of those who went into exile in Sweden began to turn up in Mexico. Many others, however, remained in Stockholm or Göteborg, and when I was living in Spain I ran into them every summer on vacation, speaking a Spanish that to me, at least, was startling, because it was the Spanish that was spoken in Chile in 1973, and that now is spoken nowhere but in Sweden.
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Archivo revista Paula
Roberto Bolaño
Exile, in most cases, is a voluntary decision. No one forced Thomas Mann to go into exile. No one forced James Joyce to go into exile. Back in Joyce’s day, the Irish probably couldn’t have cared less whether he stayed in Dublin or left, whether he became a priest or killed himself. In the best of cases, exile is a literary option, similar to the option of writing. No one forces you to write. The writer enters the labyrinth voluntarily—for many reasons, of course: because he doesn’t want to die, because he wants to be loved, etc.—but he isn’t forced into it. In the final instance he’s no more forced than a politician is forced into politics or a lawyer is forced into law school. With the great advantage for the writer that the lawyer or politician, outside his country of origin, tends to flounder like a fish out of water, at least for a while. Whereas a writer outside his native country seems to grow wings. The same thing applies to other situations. What does a politician do in prison? What does a lawyer do in the hospital? Anything but work. What, on the other hand, does a writer do in prison or in the hospital? He works. Sometimes he even works a lot. And that’s not even to mention poets. Of course the claim can be made that in prison the libraries are no good and that in hospitals there are often are no libraries. It can be argued that in most cases exile means the loss of the writer’s books, among other material losses, and in some cases even the loss of his papers, unfinished manuscripts, projects, letters. It doesn’t matter. Better to lose manuscripts than to lose your life. In any case, the point is that the writer works wherever he is, even while he sleeps, which isn’t true of those in other professions. Actors, it can be said, are always working, but it isn’t the same: the writer writes and is conscious of writing, whereas the actor, under great duress, only howls. Policemen are always policemen, but that isn’t the same either, because it’s one thing to be and another to work. The writer is and works in any situation. The policeman only is. The same is true of the professional assassin, the soldier, the banker. Whores, perhaps, come closest in the exercise of their profession to the practice of literature.
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A cast of the Doryphoros, by the fifth century sculptor Polykleitos
Archilochus, Greek poet of the seventh century BC, is a perfect example of this phenomenon. Born on the island of Paros, he was a mercenary, and, according to legend, he died in combat. We can imagine his life spent wandering the cities of Greece.
In one fragment, Archilochus doesn’t hesitate to admit that in the midst of battle, probably a skirmish, he drops his arms and goes running, which for the Greeks was undoubtedly the greatest mark of shame, let alone for a soldier who has to earn his daily bread by his courage in combat. Archilochus says:
Some Saian mountaineer 
Struts today with my shield. 
I threw it down behind a bush and ran
When the fighting got hot. 
Life seemed somehow more precious. 
It was a beautiful shield. 
I know where I can buy another 
Exactly like it, just as round.
And classical scholar Carlos García Gual on Archilochus: he had to leave the island where he was born to earn a living with his lance, as a soldier of fortune. He knew war only as a toilsome chore, not as a field of heroic deeds. He won renown for his cynicism in a few lines of verse that tell how he flees the battlefield after he throws away his shield. His openness in confessing such a shameful act is striking. (In hoplite tactics, the shield is the weapon that protects the flank of the next soldier, symbol of courage, something never to be lost. “Return with the shield or on the shield,” it was said in Sparta.) All the pragmatic poet cared about was saving his own life. He cared nothing for glory or the code of honor.
Another fragment: “Hang iambics. / This is no time / for poetry.” And: “Father Zeus, / I’ve had / No wedding feast.” And: “His mane the infantry / cropped down to stubble” And: “Balanced on the keen edge / Now of the wind’s sword, / Now of the wave’s blade.” And this, which could only have been written by someone buffeted by fate:
Attribute all to the gods. 
They pick a man up, 
Stretched on the black loam, 
And set him on his two feet, 
Firm, and then again
Shake solid men until
They fall backward
Into the worst of luck, 
Wandering hungry,
Wild of mind.
And this, spotlessly cruel and clear:
Seven of the enemy 
        were cut down in that encounter
And a thousand of us,
        mark you, 
Ran them through.
And:
Soul, soul, 
Torn by perplexity,
On your feet now!
Throw forward your chest
To the enemy;
Keep close in the attack; 
Move back not an inch. 
But never crow in victory,
Nor mope hangdog in loss. 
Overdo neither sorrow nor joy:
A measured motion governs man.
And this, sad and pragmatic:
The heart of mortal man,
Glaukos, son of Leptines,
Is what Zeus makes it,
Day after day,
And what the world makes it, 
That passes before our eyes.
And this, in which the human condition shines:
Hear me here,
Hugging your knees, 
Hephaistos Lord. 
My battle mate,
My good luck be; 
That famous grace
Be my grace too.
And this, in which Archilochus gives us a portrait of himself and then vanishes into immortality, an immortality in which he didn’t happen to believe: “My ash spear is my barley bread, / My ash spear is my Ismarian wine. / I lean on my spear and drink.”
This essay is drawn from Between Parentheses: Essays, Articles and Speeches (1998–2003) by Roberto Bolaño, translated by Natasha Wimmer, forthcoming from New Directions on May 30. All translations from Archilochus are by Guy Davenport, from Archilochus, Sappho, Alkman: Three Lyric Poets of the Late Greek Bronze Age (University of California Press, 1980).
NYRB.com 13.4.2011

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